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      It All Falls Down: A Commentary

      Sixty years of American foreign policy alliances in the Middle East are in collapse.
      Hosni Mubarak is finished; if not literally, certainly as a viable leader of the most important country in the Arab world. Finished as well is the U.S. alliance with Mubarak’s dictatorship, one forged in the name of expedience, resulting in torture, repression of human rights, and the abuse of the majority of the Egyptian people. Up for reconsideration is the détente between Egypt and Israel on which the U.S. has spent over $30 billion for Cairo alone since 1975, and a reported $68 billion since 1948, most for military purposes.
      The U.S. will not be able to airbrush away its past and current integration into Egypt’s repression. But President Obama carefully began that process Friday afternoon by calling on Mubarak not to use violence against the protestors and to lift Cairo’s ban on the Internet and social networks.
      The U.S. and Israel are going to be shopping for some new partners in the Middle East. But who?
      This outbreak shows that the rules of social movements apply to confrontations with dictatorships, not just democracies, across cultural and international lines. This movement in Egypt is under the control of the youthful Street, and will flow according to the dynamics of the Street. This movement was initiated by surprise, without the leadership of political parties or opposition groups. This movement is leading to the implosion of the status quo, and, whatever interim arrangements are negotiated, its youthful protagonists in formations like the “April 6 Group” are going through a rite of passage to becoming a new generation of leadership.
      For now, it is a pro-democracy movement, nothing more. This was supposed to be the dream of the neo-conservatives and Bush Republicans. But now that it is here, they are in panic, full-stop.
      The two organized forces vindicated by this uprising are Al Qaeda and Al Jazeera, each for different reasons. In fact, Al Qaeda may be surprised at the spontaneous rising in the streets, at forces not led by any organized and clandestine vanguard, but embodying an alternative way to bring down Arab dictatorships. Al Qaeda may not be comfortable at the sight, but they will be credited as prophetic.
      Al Jazeera deserves the credit for inventing a networked platform for the modern pro-democracy sentiment raging across the region, erupting in the Tunisian uprising of recent days. While Al Jazeera is critical of Israel, the United States and the West, it also represents an open-source organizational model fundamentally different than the Al Qaeda network. The Al Jazeera constituency thrives in a context of far more democratic and pluralistic currents than possible for any clandestine organization. The Al Jazeera constituency is modern in consciousness and technology, not an incubator for greater Islamic fundamentalism.
      And what of the American wars in Iraq, Afghanistan and Pakistan? How are 150,000 American troops on the ground a “solution” to the crisis electrifying the Muslim world? What is to keep the anger of Cairo and Tunisia from sweeping across Iraq, Afghanistan and Pakistan? Yemen is convulsed by a street revolution as well, one hardly likely to enhance the U.S. strategic position. Are Kharzai, Zardari, Maliki, and Saleh different from the U.S.-backed rogues in Cairo and Tunis? Are not these wars “to bring democracy to the Muslim world” looking more foolish than ever? [Updates to follow]

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      Reader Comments (1)

      This is where we can watch it happening in real time:

      Can we do this in the USA to stop the war machine?
      Let's organize and do it.

      January 29, 2011 | Unregistered CommenterElizabeth Lerer

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