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      Tuesday
      May102011

      U.S. Military Admits: We Don’t Understand Afghan Insurgency

      An example of the 2011 Insurgent Objectives, according to the Department of Defense.In its own words, the U.S. military in Afghanistan “still does not fully understand the regenerative capacity of the insurgency,” according the Pentagon’s current report on the war to Congress.[1]

      This shocking admission should come as no surprise. The primary reason for the insurgency’s “regenerative” power is the violent military occupation itself. To admit that the occupation is the cause of violence would create overwhelming pressure for a withdrawal.

      The 122-page biannual Pentagon report reveals a comprehensive strategy of counterinsurgency, one at complete variance with the Obama administration’s narrower policy of disrupting, derailing and defeating al Qaeda. The Pentagon plan, developed by outgoing U.S. General David Petraeus, includes an ambitious expansion of the Afghan National Army (ANA) and Afghan National Police (ANP), but also to reduce corruption and criminality, develop good governance, a modern judiciary, highways, mining, agriculture, and improve the status of women and children.

      Areas to be handed back to Afghan control. (Image / BBC, March 22, 2011)The document extends the length of the proposed American withdrawal from combat until the end of 2014,[2] despite repeated assertions by Gen. Petraeus that the al Qaeda presence in Afghanistan remains at “less than 100 or so.”[3] The Pentagon has since recommended an initial drawdown of only a token 5,000 U.S. troops in July, potentially to be followed by the removal of an additional 5,000 military personnel through the end of 2011. These numbers fail to reduce U.S. troop commitments below 2009 pre-surge totals.[4]

      In the meantime, the Pentagon proposes that the ANA, ANP, and Afghan government assume authority in seven geographic “areas of transition,” home to 25 percent of the country’s population, starting as soon as this summer. The seven areas are parts of Kabul, Panjshir, and Bamyan provinces, and the municipal districts of Mazar-e-Sharif, Lashkar Gah, Herat, and Mehtar Lam. The enclaves roughly approximate the lines of the civil war fought between the Taliban and Northern Alliance a decade ago.[5] 

      Total security incidents, April 2009 - May 2011. (Image / DoD)The Pentagon report ignores evidence that the Afghan security forces being built and trained are sectarian in nature, mentioning only in passing problems of achieving "ethnic balance."[6] According to Foreign Policy, even ethnic recruiting goals ignore "the socio-political and historical realities of Afghanistan."[7] Early forces were "heavily recruited out of Tajik Northern Alliance formations," resulting in an overrepresentation of Tajik commanders within the ANA.[8] According to a UN official in the spring of 2008, representing only 25 percent of the population, 70 percent of all kandak (battalion) commanders were Tajiks, a "stark contrast" to the pre-war composition of the Afghan army.[9] The new Pentagon report cites only 200 Pashtun recruits per month this year, without describing their status.

      As evidence suggests that the Taliban insurgency has significantly grown,[10] only 700 Taliban have been “reintegrated” under the government’s pacification program.[11] And amid Pentagon claims of "tangible progress,"[12] the so-called “total security incidents” were approximately the same in the Oct 2010-Mar. 2011 period as in the previous one of 2009-2010.[13]

       


      [1] “Report on Progress Toward Security and Stability in Afghanistan and United States Plan for Sustaining the Afghanistan National Security Forces, April 2011.” Department of Defense, April 13, 2011, Page 56. http://www.defense.gov/news/1230_1231Report.pdf.

      [2] Ibid. Page 50.

      [3] Testimony of General David Petraeus before the Senate and House Armed Services Committees, March 2011; and, Deb Riechmann. "Petraeus: Al-Qaida Is Not On Rise in Afghanistan." Associated Press, April 10, 2011.

      [4] Barnes, Julain E., and Adam Entous. "Military Draws Up Afghan Exit Plan." The Wall Street Journal, May 10, 2011.

      [5] These “areas of transition” were publicly announced by Afghanistan President Hamid Karzai on March 22, 2011. Nordland, Rod and Ray Rivera. “Afghans to Take Over Security in 7 Areas, Mostly Peaceful, by July.” The New York Times, March 23, 2011. Page A4.

      [6] Department of Defense. Page 25.

      [7] DuPee, Matthew, and Thomas Johnson. "Transition to nowhere: The limits of "Afghanization"" Foreign Policy. March 22, 2011.

      [8] Cordesman, Anthony H., Adam Mausner, and David Kasten. "Winning in Afghanistan: Creating Effective Afghan Security Forces." Washington: Centre for Strategic and International Studies. Page 72.

      [9] Giustozzi, Dr. Antonio. "Afghanistan's National Army: The Ambiguous Prospects of Afghanization." Terrorism Monitor, Volume:6 Issue: 9, May 1, 2008.

      [10] Porter, Gareth. "Deferring to Petraeus, NIE Failed to Register Taliban Growth." Inter Press Service, February 14, 2011.

      [11] Department of Defense. Page 3. 

      [12] Shanker, Thom. "Afghanistan War Report Cites Progress by Troops." The New York Times, April 30, 2011. Page A9.

      [13] Security incidents include direct fire, indirect fire, surface-to-air fire, and IED events. IED events include IED explosions, IEDs that were found and cleared, mine explosions, and mines that were found and cleared.

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      Reader Comments (3)

      "U.S. Military admits..." - maybe they should consult somebody outside the U.S. Military!

      May 13, 2011 | Unregistered CommenterL. Carney

      Afghanistan is just one of many examples of Industrial Military control. It's beginning for the USA was during the Clinton Administration. For those of you not well acquainted with why the USA is there:The war is with the Taliban who are obstructing efforts to build the TAPI Pipeline.

      The efforts in Afghanistan began in the 1990's under the Clinton administration. UNOCAL purchased the development rights for natural gas in the Caspian Sea. One third of the planets natural gas is under the Caspian Sea. UNOCAL had no way to exploit these riches and get them to markets because the Taliban reneged on a deal to allow a gas pipeline through their country
      John P. Maresca, VP of UNOCAL appeared before a congressional sub-com. seeking US Military intervention.

      The gas pipeline was supposed to go to the Gulf of Oman to load ships for gas transport to SE Asia. The only other route south to Oman for the pipeline was through Iran. This was not an option because of US sanctions.
      The World Bank and other international lenders would not fund the pipeline project unless safety was guaranteed. The US sent in Special OP's forces to kill members of the Taliban opposing the pipeline.
      Then came 911 !

      The US invaded Afghanistan to kill Taliban members who would not allow the Natural Gas Pipeline through their land. It was after this that UNOCAL sold it's interests in the Caspian Sea to a Consortium. This hid their involvement but they still remain a player behind the scenes.

      Condoleeza Rice negotiated a deal with Pakistan and India for a new route for the pipeline. This eliminated the need to load Natural Gas tankers in the Gulf of Oman for transport to SE Asia.
      TAPI stands for Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan and India. The pipeline is being built along the side of the ancient trade route to India

      The Bush administration through Cheney's efforts declared ENERGY POLICY a matter of National Security so that not even the Congress can discuss this agenda openly.
      Afghanistan is the key for the connected to make trillions of dollars ! Natural gas is needed in SE Asia for raw material used in plastics manufacturing. Endless supplies from the Caspian Sea, the World Bank and other Big Bankers online with the project, and the Industrial Military Complex making it happen !

      Recently Engineering firms have found sources of Lithium in Afghanistan along with oil and other needed metals. Batteries are Big Money !

      They cloak themselves under the banner of patriotism and declare that they are christians bringing good will to the rest of the world. They have hidden their true agenda and deceived the masses for dishonest gain. The blood of the innocent continues to be shed but does not go unnoticed.Presidents come and go, but those who control the Industrial Military Complex are the ones with the real power.

      Strategy and policy are all well thought out and planned often using 'Think Tanks'.Afghanistan is just one of many examples of Industrial Military control.

      It is shameful of those in power to have continued "the lie" for a select group who place no value on human life. These are people drunk with power, blinded by their agenda and thirst for monetary gain.They are an evil bunch who's greed and lust for riches have brought much pain and suffering to all of humanity.

      Presidents come and go, but those who control the Industrial Military Complex are the ones with the real power.

      May 13, 2011 | Unregistered Commenteranthony samsel

      Afghanistan is a country which has known war the thousand years it has been around. Known as the graveyard of empires. The Afghans have always known that they are the crossroads of great empires and on each side there is great wealth. Every time an empire enters Afghanistan its purpose is to steal the wealth of another empire. This has always been the case. The Afghans know this all too well. But the wealthy invaders come over there - they imagine the Afghans are impoverished and backward, imagine they probably ignorant savages. The is merely a ruse. The Afghans know very well about the enormous wealth around their domain. But no one dare pass without paying his dues to the Afghan tribesmen. Amongst the great traditions of Afghanistan is that the tribes will only allow those to stay those who have sought their permission to stay. Those who do not seek permission - it is rude and it is considered an invasion. Fighting in Afghanistan is not like fighting 'Red Indians' who never encountered treachery, lies and conspiracy. The Afghans have a keen insight in human nature and it is a tradition passed down from generation to generation. No is trusted till he has proven to trustworthy. The USA has done nothing to earn the trust of the Afghans. Like Raymond Davis fidgeting in the prison he was kept in thought he was caught amongst subhuman beings - the US armed forces think they are dealing with some subhuman species. Unlike the warriors fighting in the plains, flat footed such soldiers cannot fight in places where it is difficult to breathe.The mountains have to be climbed. Afghan soldiers are mountain dwellers, they jump from hill to the next. Soldiers of the plain need lots training whereas have this natural born gift and make them impossible to fight. Three times the British went into Afghanistan and they were defeated. This 10 year war is all but lost. Guns are designed to shoot straight - bullets cannot go far when the next thing behind the target is mountain.Osama bin Laden was not found Afghanistan because that mission would be impossible. There are political reasons for his capture. in Pakistan. The USA has to learn to give respect to the Afghans before they end up losing the war badly

      May 16, 2011 | Unregistered CommenterJeddy
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